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concept1986-present

Cumulative Selection

Disciplines:
biology
evolutionary biology

Summary

Dawkins's concept distinguishing cumulative selection (each step builds on the last, the output of one generation is the input to the next) from single-step selection — the key insight explaining how natural selection produces apparent design.

Core Contribution

Against the lottery fallacy: critics of evolution argue that a complex structure (the eye, a protein) could not arise by chance — the odds are astronomical. Dawkins's reply: they are confusing single-step selection with cumulative selection. In single-step selection, you must get everything right in one go. In cumulative selection, each small improvement is preserved and becomes the starting point for the next step — complexity builds in stages. The blind watchmaker: cumulative selection is the mechanism that mimics design without a designer. Illustrated with the 'weasel program' and biomorphs.

Key Spikes & Highlights

  • Dawkins's 'weasel program' (1986) was the first clear pedagogical demonstration of cumulative selection in software — showing that a random process guided by cumulative selection can reach 'METHINKS IT IS LIKE A WEASEL' in ~43 generations, not 10^40 attempts.
  • Cumulative selection is the answer to the 'irreducible complexity' argument of intelligent design (Behe) — each intermediate stage must be functional, not the final complex form, for selection to preserve it.

Historical Influences

Darwin Fisher

Intellectual Lineage

DarwinismInformation Theory

Allied Works

The Blind Watchmaker The Selfish Gene Climbing Mount Improbable

Contemporaries & Peers

Neutral Theory of Molecular EvolutionPunctuated Equilibrium

Minds Influenced

Evolutionary Biology PopularizationComplexity Studies Algorithmic Information Theory

Intellectual Posterity

Evolutionary Biology Philosophy of Biology Complexity Studies

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