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person2015–present

Jared Kaplan

Disciplines:
physics
ai
anthropic
scaling laws

Summary

American physicist and AI researcher at Anthropic who co-authored the Neural Scaling Laws paper — demonstrating that AI model performance improves predictably as a power law function of model size, data, and compute — one of the most consequential empirical findings in modern AI.

Core Contribution

Discovered neural scaling laws — Kaplan et al.'s 2020 paper showed that language model performance scales predictably with model size, dataset size, and compute following smooth power laws, enabling researchers to predict model capabilities in advance and providing the theoretical foundation for the current 'scale up' approach to AI.

Key Spikes & Highlights

  • Scaling Laws (Kaplan's discovery: AI model performance scales as a smooth power law with model parameters, data tokens, and compute budget — this means you can predict how much better a model will be before you train it, and that simply scaling up reliably improves performance; this empirical finding justified the massive compute investments that produced GPT-3, GPT-4, and Claude)

Notable Works & Achievements

Scaling Laws for Neural Language Models

Historical Influences

Physics power law tradition AI research community

Intellectual Lineage

University of Chicago Johns Hopkins OpenAI Anthropic

Contemporaries & Peers

Dario Amodei Tom Henighan

Minds Influenced

AI scaling strategyLenny's Podcast

Intellectual Posterity

Neural Scaling LawsKaplan scaling lawsJared Kaplan as AI scaling

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Jared Kaplan

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