PANTHEON
ExploreBuild My Library
© 2026 Pantheon — an atlas of the ideas that shaped how we think.
person1990s–

Joe Carlsmith

Disciplines:
philosophy
ai safety
philanthropy/open philanthropy
alignment

Summary

American AI safety researcher and philosopher — Research Analyst at Open Philanthropy — who writes long-form philosophical analysis of AI risk, alignment, and related questions with unusual rigor.

Core Contribution

Creates the most philosophically rigorous analysis of AI power-seeking risk — Carlsmith's Is Power-Seeking AI an Existential Risk? is the most careful probabilistic argument for AI risk as a serious concern, engaging honestly with uncertainty rather than asserting certainty.

Notable Works & Achievements

Is Power-Seeking AI an Existential Risk?

Essays on Open Philanthropy blog

Historical Influences

Nick Bostrom Eliezer Yudkowsky Derek Parfit

Intellectual Lineage

Oxford Open Philanthropy

Contemporaries & Peers

Paul Christiano Holden Karnofsky

Minds Influenced

AI safety philosophical foundations

Intellectual Posterity

Is Power-Seeking AI an Existential Risk? AI risk philosophical analysis

Discussing

Joe Carlsmith

Ask anything about Joe Carlsmith — their ideas, influences, contradictions, legacy.

Sign in to start a conversation.