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Longtermism

Disciplines:
philosophy
ethics
politics/policy

Summary

The ethical position that we should give significant moral weight to the welfare of future generations — and that since the potential future population vastly outnumbers those alive today, reducing existential risks is among the most important moral priorities.

Core Contribution

Astronomical stakes: if humanity has a long future (millions or billions of years), the expected number of future people vastly exceeds the current population. Even a small improvement in the probability of humanity's long-term flourishing outweighs almost all near-term benefits. Existential risk prioritization: the most urgent priority is reducing risks that could permanently destroy humanity's potential (AI misalignment, bioweapons, nuclear war). Strong and weak longtermism: strong longtermism holds that almost all moral weight lies with the future; weak longtermism simply adds future generations to our moral consideration.

Key Spikes & Highlights

  • Longtermism's central claim — that near-term suffering (global poverty, disease) deserves less moral weight than reducing existential risks — has been criticized as license to ignore present injustice in favor of speculative future goods. Émile P. Torres and others call this 'hits-based giving gone wrong.'

Historical Influences

Derek Parfit Nick Bostrom

Intellectual Lineage

Utilitarianism Effective Altruism Population Ethics

Allied Works

What We Owe the Future The Precipice Superintelligence

Contemporaries & Peers

Effective Altruism Population Ethics

Minds Influenced

AI Safety EA Cause Prioritization Policy Discourse

Intellectual Posterity

AI Safety X-Risk Research Policy

Discussing

Longtermism

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