Toby Ord's 2020 analysis of existential risks facing humanity — cataloguing threats (AI misalignment, engineered pandemics, nuclear weapons, climate change, asteroids) by probability and arguing that avoiding existential catastrophe is the highest moral priority.
Creates the systematic existential risk taxonomy — The Precipice provides the most rigorous single-volume treatment of all major existential risks, with probability estimates and a philosophical framework (longtermism) for why existential risk reduction deserves to be the highest priority in effective altruism.
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