Play-money prediction market platform founded in 2021 — democratizing forecasting by allowing anyone to create and trade in prediction markets on any question using virtual currency.
Democratizing prediction markets: Manifold removed the regulatory barriers of real-money prediction markets by using play money (Mantic Points), allowing anyone to create markets on any topic. This enabled a rapid expansion of questions forecasters could bet on — political events, scientific discoveries, personal goals, AI capabilities. Became the primary platform for the rationalist forecasting community. Demonstrates that play money markets, despite lacking financial incentives, still aggregate information usefully.
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