3 thinkers, books, and ideas connected to this field.
American economist at George Mason — inventor of prediction markets (policy analysis market) — author of The Age of Em (on whole brain emulation) and The Elephant in the Brain (with Kevin Simler) — who consistently proposes contrarian models of human behavior and social institutions.
Podcast associated with Manifold Markets — the play-money prediction market platform — covering forecasting, prediction market mechanics, and probabilistic reasoning.
Play-money prediction market platform founded in 2021 — democratizing forecasting by allowing anyone to create and trade in prediction markets on any question using virtual currency.