2 thinkers, books, and ideas connected to this field.
Lebanese-American essayist and former derivatives trader who developed a philosophy of radical uncertainty — arguing that rare, high-impact events (Black Swans) dominate outcomes and that most risk models are dangerously wrong.
Former options trader and philosopher of risk — author of the Incerto series (Fooled by Randomness, The Black Swan, Antifragile, Skin in the Game) — whose framework for thinking about uncertainty and tail risk reshaped how practitioners think about probability.