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podcast2022-present

Manifold

Disciplines:
forecasting
prediction markets

Summary

Podcast associated with Manifold Markets — the play-money prediction market platform — covering forecasting, prediction market mechanics, and probabilistic reasoning.

Core Contribution

Extension of the Manifold Markets brand into audio content, building community around forecasting culture. Part of the broader prediction market and rationalist ecosystem that treats probabilistic forecasting as a learnable, improvable skill rather than an expert art. Represents the institutionalization of forecasting culture beyond academic superforecasting.

Historical Influences

Philip Tetlock PredictIt

Intellectual Lineage

Prediction Markets Rationalist Community

Contemporaries & Peers

Rationally Speaking Dwarkesh Podcast

Minds Influenced

Prediction Market Community

Intellectual Posterity

Prediction Market Culture

Discussing

Manifold

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